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Erovnuli Liga logo

Erovnuli Liga

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Gagra Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra W W L D L L
Dinamo Tbilisi W L D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dinamo Tbilisi Gagra 0 - 1 April 21, 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi Gagra 2 - 4 November 21, 2025
Dinamo Tbilisi Gagra 0 - 1 September 13, 2025
Gagra Dinamo Tbilisi 1 - 1 May 16, 2025
Gagra Dinamo Tbilisi 0 - 4 April 5, 2025
Dinamo Tbilisi Gagra 0 - 1 December 8, 2024

Gagra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 28, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 1 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Home Dila 2 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Saburtalo 1 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Rustavi 1 - 1 Draw
May 11, 26 Away Spaeri 3 - 0 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 1 - 2 Loss

Dinamo Tbilisi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Meshakhte 1 - 6 Win
May 24, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 0 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Dila 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Saburtalo 2 - 0 Win
May 11, 26 Away Rustavi 2 - 3 Win
May 7, 26 Home Spaeri 2 - 1 Win

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 16 6 7 3 23 15 +8 25
9 Gagra 16 4 5 7 15 22 -7 17

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Gagra or Dinamo Tbilisi to win
This prediction indicates that Dinamo Tbilisi has a 39.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.43 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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