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Erovnuli Liga

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Gagra Meshakhte
Gagra L W L D D W
Meshakhte D W L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Meshakhte Gagra 1 - 1 June 18, 2026
Gagra Meshakhte 1 - 1 April 27, 2026

Gagra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Dila 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 31, 26 Home Saburtalo 2 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Rustavi 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Home Spaeri 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Dinamo Batumi 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 15, 26 Home BKMA 3 - 1 Win

Meshakhte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Spaeri 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 31, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 0 - 2 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Dila 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Samgurali 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home FC Urartu 2 - 4 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Gagra 23 6 9 8 23 30 -7 27
10 Meshakhte 23 2 8 13 17 40 -23 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Gagra to win
This prediction indicates that Gagra has a 51.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.05 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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