Gagra vs Samgurali Wednesday 24th June 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Gagra Samgurali

Gagra D W W W L D

Samgurali L W W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Samgurali	Gagra	2 - 0	May 2, 2026
Gagra	Samgurali	0 - 1	March 2, 2026
Samgurali	Gagra	1 - 1	November 2, 2025
Gagra	Samgurali	2 - 0	August 24, 2025
Samgurali	Gagra	0 - 2	May 7, 2025
Gagra	Samgurali	0 - 2	March 16, 2025

Gagra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 18, 26	Away	Meshakhte	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Dinamo Tbilisi	2 - 1	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Dila	2 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Saburtalo	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Rustavi	1 - 1	Draw

Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 18, 26	Away	Dinamo Tbilisi	5 - 3	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Torpedo Kutaisi	2 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Dila	2 - 3	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Saburtalo	3 - 2	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Rustavi	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Spaeri	0 - 0	Draw

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Samgurali	18	7	3	8	25	32	-7	24
9	Gagra	18	5	6	7	18	24	-6	21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.25% likelihood that both Gagra and Samgurali will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Samgurali to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Samgurali has a 38.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.49 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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