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Erovnuli Liga

June 24, 2026 5 days, 6 hours ago
0 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Gagra Samgurali
Gagra D W W W L D
Samgurali L W W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Samgurali Gagra 2 - 0 May 2, 2026
Gagra Samgurali 0 - 1 March 2, 2026
Samgurali Gagra 1 - 1 November 2, 2025
Gagra Samgurali 2 - 0 August 24, 2025
Samgurali Gagra 0 - 2 May 7, 2025
Gagra Samgurali 0 - 2 March 16, 2025

Gagra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 18, 26 Away Meshakhte 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Dinamo Tbilisi 2 - 1 Win
May 28, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 1 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Home Dila 2 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Saburtalo 1 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Rustavi 1 - 1 Draw

Samgurali Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 18, 26 Away Dinamo Tbilisi 5 - 3 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Torpedo Kutaisi 2 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Away Dila 2 - 3 Win
May 25, 26 Home Saburtalo 3 - 2 Win
May 21, 26 Away Rustavi 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Spaeri 0 - 0 Draw

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Samgurali 18 7 3 8 25 32 -7 24
9 Gagra 18 5 6 7 18 24 -6 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.25% likelihood that both Gagra and Samgurali will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Samgurali to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Samgurali has a 38.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 37.49 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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