Gagra vs Spaeri Saturday 15th August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Gagra Spaeri

Gagra W D D D W W

Spaeri L L D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Spaeri	Gagra	3 - 0	May 11, 2026
Gagra	Spaeri	0 - 3	March 11, 2026
Spaeri	Gagra	2 - 0	December 12, 2022
Gagra	Spaeri	2 - 0	December 8, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	BKMA	3 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	FC Urartu	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 24, 26	Home	Samgurali	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 18, 26	Away	Meshakhte	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Dinamo Tbilisi	2 - 1	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Torpedo Kutaisi	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Home	Samgurali	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	FC Urartu	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 22, 26	Away	Torpedo Kutaisi	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 16, 26	Away	Dila	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Away	Saburtalo	1 - 1	Draw
May 29, 26	Away	Rustavi	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Spaeri	19	5	7	7	25	25	0	22
9	Gagra	18	5	6	7	18	24	-6	21

This prediction indicates that Gagra has a 41.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.71 %

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