Erovnuli Liga
Match Analysis
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
L
D
D
W
D
D
Torpedo Kutaisi
D
W
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torpedo Kutaisi | Gagra | 1 - 2 | May 28, 2026 |
| Gagra | Torpedo Kutaisi | 2 - 2 | April 17, 2026 |
| Gagra | Torpedo Kutaisi | 0 - 2 | October 17, 2025 |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | Gagra | 2 - 1 | August 3, 2025 |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | Gagra | 2 - 1 | April 24, 2025 |
| Gagra | Torpedo Kutaisi | 1 - 2 | March 1, 2025 |
Gagra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Rustavi | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Spaeri | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Dinamo Batumi | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | BKMA | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | FC Urartu | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 24, 26 | Home | Samgurali | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Torpedo Kutaisi Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Dila | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Saburtalo | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Rustavi | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Zira | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Zira | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 22, 26 | Home | Spaeri | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Erovnuli Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 23 | +11 | 30 |
| 8 | Gagra | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 24 |
Predictions
Torpedo Kutaisi to win
This prediction indicates that Torpedo Kutaisi has a 41.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.35 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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