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Serie D logo

Serie D

July 25, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Gama America-RN
Gama W L W W D W
America-RN W W W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Home Porto Velho 2 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Porto Velho 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Mixto 1 - 0 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Mixto 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Aparecidense 2 - 2 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Inhumas 0 - 2 Win

America-RN Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 13, 26 Home Trem 2 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Trem 1 - 4 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home Fluminense PI 1 - 0 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Fluminense PI 0 - 3 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Sousa 0 - 2 Win
May 29, 26 Home Central SC 1 - 0 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Gama 14 11 2 1 28 9 +19 35
2 America-RN 13 9 3 1 22 4 +18 30

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Gama to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Gama has a 39.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.98 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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