Gama vs Aparecidense Sunday 07th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Gama Aparecidense

Gama W W W W W D

Aparecidense D L D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aparecidense	Gama	0 - 2	April 4, 2026
Aparecidense	Gama	2 - 1	August 28, 2021
Gama	Aparecidense	0 - 0	June 12, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Inhumas	0 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Primavera MG	4 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Brasiliense	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Luverdense	1 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Luverdense	4 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Brasiliense	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Primavera MG	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Luverdense	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Inhumas	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Brasiliense	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Brasiliense	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Inhumas	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Gama	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
46	Aparecidense	9	3	3	3	11	10	+1	12

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Gama has a 50.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.54 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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