Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis Wednesday 23rd September 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Emperor Cup

Sept. 23, 2026 6 days, 5 hours from now VS

Gamba Osaka Tokushima Vortis

Gamba Osaka L L D D W L

Tokushima Vortis L W W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tokushima Vortis	Gamba Osaka	2 - 1	August 9, 2021
Gamba Osaka	Tokushima Vortis	2 - 1	May 27, 2021
Gamba Osaka	Tokushima Vortis	2 - 0	December 27, 2020
Tokushima Vortis	Gamba Osaka	0 - 0	December 6, 2014
Gamba Osaka	Tokushima Vortis	1 - 0	August 20, 2014
Gamba Osaka	Tokushima Vortis	3 - 0	May 6, 2014

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Home	FC Tokyo	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	JEF United Chiba	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 2, 26	Away	V-varen Nagasaki	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 26, 26	Home	Biwako Shiga	2 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Nagoya Grampus	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Away	Blaublitz Akita	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Home	Iwaki	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Oita Trinita	1 - 0	Win
Aug 26, 26	Home	FC Tokushima	3 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Jubilo Iwata	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction indicates that Gamba Osaka has a 54.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.33 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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