Gamba Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy Saturday 30th May 2026 10:00 AM football predictions.

Gamba Osaka Tokyo Verdy

Gamba Osaka W L L W D D

Tokyo Verdy L W D L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gamba Osaka	Tokyo Verdy	4 - 1	December 6, 2025
Tokyo Verdy	Gamba Osaka	0 - 1	March 2, 2025
Gamba Osaka	Tokyo Verdy	1 - 1	September 28, 2024
Tokyo Verdy	Gamba Osaka	0 - 0	May 15, 2024
Tokyo Verdy	Gamba Osaka	3 - 3	July 27, 2013
Gamba Osaka	Tokyo Verdy	0 - 0	April 7, 2013

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Shimizu S-pulse	1 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Nagoya Grampus	2 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Vissel Kobe	5 - 0	Win
Apr 29, 26	Away	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	V-varen Nagasaki	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Yokohama F. Marinos	0 - 6	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Mito Hollyhock	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Away	Machida Zelvia	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	FC Tokyo	2 - 1	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	Kawasaki Frontale	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Kashiwa Reysol	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Tokyo Verdy	18	7	4	7	19	25	-6	25
12	Gamba Osaka	18	5	8	5	26	22	+4	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Gamba Osaka has a 54.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.16 %

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