Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Match Analysis
Gambia
Somalia
Gambia
L
L
D
W
L
W
Somalia
D
D
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Gambia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 26 | Away | Iran | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Mar 31, 26 | Away | Senegal | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Nov 18, 25 | Away | Kuwait | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Oct 14, 25 | Away | Seychelles | 0 - 7 | Win |
| Oct 10, 25 | Home | Gabon | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Sep 9, 25 | Home | Burundi | 2 - 0 | Win |
Somalia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 26 | Away | Mauritius | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Mar 27, 26 | Home | Mauritius | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Nov 21, 25 | Away | Bahrain | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Nov 17, 25 | Away | Bahrain | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Oct 14, 25 | Home | Mozambique | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 9, 25 | Home | Algeria | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Gambia to win
This prediction indicates that Gambia has a 56.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.86 %Most Likely Scorelines
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