GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town Sunday 02nd August 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

GAP Connah S Quay FC Caernarfon Town

GAP Connah S Quay FC L D W L D L

Caernarfon Town L L W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Caernarfon Town	GAP Connah S Quay FC	2 - 4	March 13, 2026
GAP Connah S Quay FC	Caernarfon Town	1 - 1	February 6, 2026
Caernarfon Town	GAP Connah S Quay FC	2 - 2	January 13, 2026
GAP Connah S Quay FC	Caernarfon Town	1 - 2	September 23, 2025
GAP Connah S Quay FC	Caernarfon Town	1 - 1	December 3, 2024
Caernarfon Town	GAP Connah S Quay FC	3 - 1	September 28, 2024

GAP Connah S Quay FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Ballkani	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Ballkani	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Queen of the South	0 - 1	Win
Jun 23, 26	Away	Larne	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Colwyn Bay	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Away	The New Saints	2 - 1	Loss

Caernarfon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	0 - 5	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Glentoran	1 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Penybont	2 - 0	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Colwyn Bay	0 - 2	Win
Mar 27, 26	Home	The New Saints	0 - 4	Loss

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Caernarfon Town	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	GAP Connah S Quay FC	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.3% likelihood that both GAP Connah S Quay FC and Caernarfon Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

GAP Connah S Quay FC to win

This prediction indicates that GAP Connah S Quay FC has a 53.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.01 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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