Premier League
Match Analysis
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
W
W
L
D
W
W
Penybont
W
W
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | Penybont | 2 - 1 | March 21, 2026 |
| Penybont | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 0 - 0 | February 14, 2026 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | Penybont | 4 - 0 | November 8, 2025 |
| Penybont | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 0 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| Penybont | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1 - 0 | January 4, 2025 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | Penybont | 0 - 1 | September 15, 2024 |
GAP Connah S Quay FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Home | Cardiff MET | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Airbus UK | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Colwyn Bay | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Haverfordwest County AFC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Flint Town United | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Cambrian & Clydach | 3 - 0 | Win |
Penybont Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Away | Ammanford AFC | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Sep 15, 26 | Home | Briton Ferry | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 11, 26 | Away | Trefelin | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Colwyn Bay | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Cambrian & Clydach | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Flint Town United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.13% likelihood that both GAP Connah S Quay FC and Penybont will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.GAP Connah S Quay FC to win
This prediction indicates that GAP Connah S Quay FC has a 51.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.20 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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