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National League

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Gateshead Southend
Gateshead D L L L W L
Southend W D L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Southend Gateshead 1 - 1 March 10, 2026
Gateshead Southend 0 - 3 August 9, 2025
Gateshead Southend 0 - 0 May 5, 2025
Southend Gateshead 1 - 3 September 28, 2024
Southend Gateshead 0 - 1 February 3, 2024
Gateshead Southend 1 - 1 November 25, 2023

Gateshead Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Solihull Moors 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 31, 26 Away Harrogate Town 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Home Sutton Utd 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Yeovil Town 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Woking 2 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Eastleigh 2 - 1 Loss

Southend Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Yeovil Town 3 - 2 Win
Aug 31, 26 Away Woking 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Home Kidderminster Harriers 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Solihull Moors 1 - 3 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Scunthorpe 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Altrincham 1 - 3 Win

National League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Southend 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
22 Gateshead 5 1 0 4 4 8 -4 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.54% likelihood that both Gateshead and Southend will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Southend to win
This prediction indicates that Southend has a 49.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.38 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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