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Ettan - Norra

Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

gefle IF Arlanda
gefle IF D W W L W W
Arlanda W W L D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Arlanda gefle IF 2 - 3 June 1, 2026
Arlanda gefle IF 2 - 0 August 24, 2025
gefle IF Arlanda 1 - 1 June 2, 2025

gefle IF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home IF Karlstad 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away Assyriska FF 1 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Umeå FC 2 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Stocksund 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Piteå 0 - 2 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home Stocksund 2 - 1 Win

Arlanda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Stocksund 2 - 3 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home FBK Karlstad 5 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Stockholm Internazionale 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Piteå 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 3, 26 Away Hammarby Talang 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Haninge 6 - 1 Win

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Arlanda 19 10 6 3 33 22 +11 36
10 gefle IF 19 7 3 9 25 37 -12 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.25% likelihood that both gefle IF and Arlanda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Arlanda to win
This prediction indicates that Arlanda has a 49.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.49 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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