gefle IF vs Umeå FC Saturday 15th August 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

gefle IF Umeå FC

gefle IF W L L L W L

Umeå FC W L L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Umeå FC	gefle IF	2 - 2	May 9, 2026
gefle IF	Umeå FC	1 - 0	October 22, 2022
Umeå FC	gefle IF	0 - 1	April 23, 2022
Umeå FC	gefle IF	2 - 1	October 16, 2021
gefle IF	Umeå FC	2 - 2	May 1, 2021
gefle IF	Umeå FC	1 - 2	August 24, 2019

gefle IF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Stocksund	2 - 1	Win
Jun 18, 26	Home	Stockholm Internazionale	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	IF Karlstad	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Hammarby Talang	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 1, 26	Away	Arlanda	2 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Järfälla	4 - 0	Loss

Umeå FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Täfteå	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Järfälla	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Enköping	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Piteå	2 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Sollentuna	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Stocksund	2 - 2	Draw

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Umeå FC	13	4	4	5	19	21	-2	16
12	gefle IF	14	4	2	8	17	29	-12	14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.05% likelihood that both gefle IF and Umeå FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

gefle IF or Umeå FC to win

This prediction indicates that gefle IF has a 38.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.55 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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