Genk vs FC OSS Saturday 01st August 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Genk FC OSS

Genk L L L W L W

FC OSS L W L L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Genk are favored to win this friendly largely because of their superior squad quality, though that advantage is tempered by their recent poor form. FC OSS's rest advantage and moderate form mean they could be competitive, which is why the model leans toward both teams scoring and a relatively open match with multiple goals. The predictions suggest a likely Genk victory in a game that produces at least three goals total, balancing the visitors' rest and current momentum against the hosts' underlying quality.

Genk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	Bayer Leverkusen	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	AZ Alkmaar	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Falkirk	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Motherwell	3 - 4	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Fortuna Sittard	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Waasland-beveren	2 - 1	Win

FC OSS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Almere City FC	8 - 4	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	SG Wattenscheid 09	3 - 1	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	MSV Duisburg	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	GO Ahead Eagles	4 - 1	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	MVV	0 - 2	Win
Apr 17, 26	Home	Den Bosch	4 - 2	Win

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Genk to win

This prediction indicates that Genk has a 71.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.14 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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