Genoa vs Ascoli Sunday 16th August 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Coppa Italia

Aug. 16, 2026 6 days, 12 hours from now VS

Genoa Ascoli

Genoa L L W D W L

Ascoli W L L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Genoa	Ascoli	2 - 1	May 6, 2023
Ascoli	Genoa	0 - 0	December 11, 2022
Genoa	Ascoli	3 - 2	December 3, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Deportivo La Coruna	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 4, 26	Away	Bournemouth	10 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Leicester	0 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Vicenza Virtus	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Home	Trento	2 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Lecce	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Potenza	3 - 1	Win
Aug 2, 26	Home	Lazio	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Frosinone	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Union Brescia	3 - 0	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Union Brescia	1 - 1	Draw
May 27, 26	Away	Catania	2 - 1	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Genoa has a 55.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.41 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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