Jupiler Pro League
Match Analysis
Gent
OH Leuven
Gent
W
W
D
W
D
W
OH Leuven
L
L
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features Gent, who hold a clear quality advantage and are in strong recent form, against OH Leuven, who have been struggling lately. Despite OH Leuven's historical dominance in past meetings between these teams, the model predicts a home win with a 60% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a slight edge toward more than one goal being scored, aligning somewhat with the market view on both over/under lines.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gent | OH Leuven | 1 - 3 | February 7, 2026 |
| OH Leuven | Gent | 4 - 0 | November 2, 2025 |
| OH Leuven | Gent | 0 - 0 | January 26, 2025 |
| Gent | OH Leuven | 3 - 0 | September 29, 2024 |
| Gent | OH Leuven | 0 - 1 | May 12, 2024 |
| OH Leuven | Gent | 2 - 1 | April 14, 2024 |
Gent Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Club Brugge KV | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | Hibernian | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Hibernian | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | RAAL La Louvière | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | IFK Goteborg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | KV Mechelen | 2 - 0 | Win |
OH Leuven Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Standard Liege | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Club Brugge KV | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Charleroi | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Lille | 3 - 6 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Heerenveen | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Club Brugge II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Jupiler Pro League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gent | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 9 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Gent to win
This prediction indicates that Gent has a 59.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.87 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments