Ghana vs Gambia Tuesday 29th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Ghana

Sept. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Gambia

Match Analysis

Ghana Gambia

Ghana L L D W D L

Gambia L L D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ghana Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Colombia	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Croatia	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Away	England	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Home	Panama	1 - 0	Win
Jun 2, 26	Away	Wales	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Mexico	2 - 0	Loss

Gambia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Iran	3 - 1	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Away	Senegal	3 - 1	Loss
Nov 18, 25	Away	Kuwait	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 14, 25	Away	Seychelles	0 - 7	Win
Oct 10, 25	Home	Gabon	3 - 4	Loss
Sep 9, 25	Home	Burundi	2 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.49% likelihood that both Ghana and Gambia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Ghana to win

This prediction indicates that Ghana has a 47.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.07 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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