Gillingham vs Luton Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Gillingham Luton

Gillingham W L W W L L

Luton D W W W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gillingham	Luton	0 - 2	July 19, 2025
Luton	Gillingham	3 - 2	August 29, 2023
Luton	Gillingham	2 - 2	March 16, 2019
Gillingham	Luton	1 - 3	November 24, 2018
Gillingham	Luton	1 - 2	August 30, 2016
Gillingham	Luton	2 - 1	October 6, 2015

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Millwall	1 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Charlton	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Dover	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Shrewsbury	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Barnet	6 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Grimsby	1 - 4	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Barnet	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Hitchin Town	0 - 5	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Bolton	2 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Barnsley	2 - 1	Win
Apr 21, 26	Away	Rotherham	0 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Mansfield Town	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction indicates that Luton has a 51.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.32 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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