Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Gimnasia Jujuy
Chaco For Ever
Gimnasia Jujuy
L
L
L
W
D
D
Chaco For Ever
L
W
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The home side, Gimnasia Jujuy, holds a modest quality edge over Chaco For Ever, despite their own recent struggles and Chaco For Ever's strong current form. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that neither team will score, and that the match will finish with fewer than two goals total, aligning with the generally lower probabilities for these outcomes compared to the market odds.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chaco For Ever | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 - 2 | March 28, 2026 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Chaco For Ever | 2 - 0 | August 17, 2025 |
| Chaco For Ever | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2 - 1 | April 13, 2025 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Chaco For Ever | 2 - 0 | September 3, 2023 |
| Chaco For Ever | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0 - 0 | April 23, 2023 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Chaco For Ever | 1 - 1 | April 2, 2022 |
Gimnasia Jujuy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Quilmes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Colegiales | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Club Atlético Güemes | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Midland | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Chaco For Ever Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Godoy Cruz | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Deportivo Moron | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Colon Santa Fe | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | San Telmo | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Acassuso | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Colon Santa Fe | 1 - 0 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 29 | +6 | 41 |
| 34 | Chaco For Ever | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.98% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Gimnasia Jujuy to win
This prediction indicates that Gimnasia Jujuy has a 47.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.20 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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