Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Gimnasia Jujuy
Tristan Suarez
Gimnasia Jujuy
L
L
W
D
D
W
Tristan Suarez
W
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Gimnasia Jujuy with a 37% probability. The model sees Gimnasia Jujuy and Tristan Suarez as closely matched overall, but notes that Gimnasia Jujuy have poor recent form, while Tristan Suarez have strong recent form. Despite this, Gimnasia Jujuy has dominated recent meetings between the two sides. The model's confidence in a home win is somewhat lower than what the market odds imply, as the odds suggest a stronger favor for Gimnasia Jujuy.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | Gimnasia Jujuy | 3 - 0 | March 21, 2026 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Tristan Suarez | 1 - 0 | August 4, 2024 |
| Tristan Suarez | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2 - 1 | March 16, 2024 |
| Tristan Suarez | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 - 2 | September 24, 2023 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | Tristan Suarez | 1 - 0 | May 13, 2023 |
| Tristan Suarez | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2 - 2 | September 25, 2022 |
Gimnasia Jujuy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Quilmes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Colegiales | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Club Atlético Güemes | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Midland | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Club Atlético Güemes | 1 - 3 | Win |
Tristan Suarez Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Club Atlético Güemes | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Nueva Chicago | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Temperley | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Chacarita Juniors | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maipu | 0 - 1 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 27 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 | Tristan Suarez | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 39 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Gimnasia Jujuy to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Gimnasia Jujuy has a 36.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.41 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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