Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate Thursday 30th July 2026 01:15 AM football predictions.

Gimnasia L.P. River Plate

Gimnasia L.P. W D L W W W

River Plate D W L D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
River Plate	Gimnasia L.P.	2 - 0	May 14, 2026
River Plate	Gimnasia L.P.	2 - 0	January 28, 2026
River Plate	Gimnasia L.P.	0 - 1	November 2, 2025
Gimnasia L.P.	River Plate	0 - 3	April 18, 2025
Gimnasia L.P.	River Plate	1 - 1	August 17, 2024
River Plate	Gimnasia L.P.	3 - 0	April 13, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Makhachkala	1 - 3	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Zenit	1 - 1	Draw
May 14, 26	Away	River Plate	2 - 0	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Velez Sarsfield	0 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Argentinos JRS	2 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Belgrano Cordoba	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Home	Flamengo	2 - 2	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	Blooming	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Belgrano Cordoba	2 - 3	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	RB Bragantino	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Rosario Central	1 - 0	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Gimnasia L.P.	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	River Plate	19	11	3	5	26	13	+13	36
8	Gimnasia L.P.	18	9	2	7	20	21	-1	29

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that River Plate has a 42.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.83 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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