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Primera Nacional

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Gimnasia Y Tiro Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro D D W L L L
Midland W L W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Atlanta 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 1 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Loss
May 5, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 3 Loss
May 1, 26 Away Velez Sarsfield 2 - 0 Loss

Midland Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 1 - 3 Win
May 3, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Chacarita Juniors 1 - 0 Loss

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Midland 15 7 4 4 17 10 +7 25
26 Gimnasia Y Tiro 15 4 5 6 15 18 -3 17

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Midland to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Midland has a 39.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.90 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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