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Veikkausliiga

June 17, 2026 1 week, 6 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Gnistan Lahti
Gnistan W W L W D W
Lahti L W L D D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Gnistan Lahti 2 - 2 October 5, 2024
Lahti Gnistan 3 - 3 June 19, 2024
Gnistan Lahti 2 - 1 June 2, 2024
Lahti Gnistan 2 - 2 March 30, 2024
Lahti Gnistan 4 - 2 March 4, 2022
Lahti Gnistan 4 - 2 April 24, 2021

Gnistan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Mariehamn 0 - 3 Win
May 30, 26 Home SJK 3 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away Ilves 2 - 0 Loss
May 16, 26 Home FF Jaro 5 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away VPS 1 - 1 Draw
May 5, 26 Home Inter Turku 2 - 0 Win

Lahti Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home SJK 2 - 3 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Ilves 5 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away KuPS 2 - 1 Loss
May 18, 26 Home VPS 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Mariehamn 1 - 1 Draw
May 4, 26 Away HJK helsinki 1 - 0 Loss

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Gnistan 10 4 2 4 16 15 +1 14
9 Lahti 10 3 2 5 14 13 +1 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.95% likelihood that both Gnistan and Lahti will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Lahti to win
This prediction indicates that Lahti has a 43.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.25 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 77.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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