1st League - FBiH
Match Analysis
GOŠK Gabela
Sloboda Tuzla
GOŠK Gabela
L
W
W
W
W
W
Sloboda Tuzla
W
D
W
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two sides are closely matched in overall quality and both are showing strong recent form, but the model leans towards a home win. The model predicts a 52% chance of a home win, which is slightly more confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, despite recent meetings being goal-filled, the model suggests it’s unlikely both teams will score and that the game will stay under 1.5 and 2.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sloboda Tuzla | GOŠK Gabela | 2 - 1 | April 4, 2026 |
| GOŠK Gabela | Sloboda Tuzla | 1 - 2 | September 14, 2025 |
| Sloboda Tuzla | GOŠK Gabela | 3 - 3 | May 23, 2025 |
| Sloboda Tuzla | GOŠK Gabela | 1 - 1 | March 7, 2025 |
| GOŠK Gabela | Sloboda Tuzla | 2 - 0 | October 19, 2024 |
| GOŠK Gabela | Sloboda Tuzla | 3 - 2 | April 14, 2019 |
GOŠK Gabela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Posušje | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Radnik Hadžići | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Zvijezda Gradačac | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | TOŠK Tešanj | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Budućnost Banovići | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Tomislav | 0 - 3 | Win |
Sloboda Tuzla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Radnik Hadžići | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Zvijezda Gradačac | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | TOŠK Tešanj | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Budućnost Banovići | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Tomislav | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Vitez | 0 - 0 | Draw |
1st League - FBiH Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GOŠK Gabela | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sloboda Tuzla | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 11 |
Predictions
GOŠK Gabela to win
This prediction indicates that GOŠK Gabela has a 51.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.76 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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