Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Godoy Cruz
Deportivo Maipu
Godoy Cruz
W
W
W
W
L
L
Deportivo Maipu
L
W
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Godoy Cruz have shown strong recent form, whereas Deportivo Maipu are only moderately in form, suggesting an edge for the home side despite the teams being closely matched overall. Deportivo Maipu do have a rest advantage, but this isn't enough to offset their weaker recent performance. The model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also leans toward an Under 1.5 goals outcome, showing less confidence than the market odds suggest for a low-scoring match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Maipu | Godoy Cruz | 0 - 1 | March 29, 2026 |
Godoy Cruz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Chaco For Ever | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Central Norte | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Defensores De Belgrano | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Ciudad de Bolívar | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Central Norte | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Deportivo Maipu Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Midland | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Atlanta | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | San Martin Tucuman | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Atletico DE Rafaela | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Agropecuario | 2 - 0 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 37 |
| 16 | Deportivo Maipu | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Godoy Cruz to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Godoy Cruz has a 41.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.03 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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