Goiatuba EC vs Sao Jose Thursday 03rd September 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Serie D

Sept. 3, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Goiatuba EC Sao Jose

Goiatuba EC D D W W W L

Sao Jose L D L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sao Jose	Goiatuba EC	1 - 2	August 9, 2025
Goiatuba EC	Sao Jose	1 - 1	August 2, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 26	Away	ASA	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	ASA	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Ferroviario	1 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Ferroviario	3 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Manauara	1 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Manauara	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 16, 26	Away	Gama	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Gama	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Treze	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Treze	2 - 1	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Portuguesa RJ	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Portuguesa RJ	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Goiatuba EC	17	9	6	2	21	10	+11	33
20	Sao Jose	17	5	8	4	12	13	-1	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Goiatuba EC has a 52.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.29 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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