FKF Premier League
Match Analysis
GOR Mahia
Murang'a SEAL
GOR Mahia
L
L
L
D
W
D
Murang'a SEAL
W
W
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for GOR Mahia with a 69% probability. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring GOR Mahia, and although both teams have moderate recent form, GOR Mahia has been strong in attack and has dominated past meetings between these sides, often with many goals. The market odds also suggest a strong chance for GOR Mahia to win, aligning with the model's view. The model is less confident about both teams scoring or the match exceeding 1.5 or 2.5 goals, seeing the game as likely to be lower-scoring than the odds for over/under markets suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEAL | GOR Mahia | 1 - 3 | May 17, 2026 |
| GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | 3 - 2 | January 14, 2026 |
| Murang'a SEAL | GOR Mahia | 0 - 0 | May 18, 2025 |
| GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | 2 - 2 | November 2, 2024 |
| Murang'a SEAL | GOR Mahia | 1 - 3 | May 4, 2024 |
| GOR Mahia | Murang'a SEAL | 0 - 0 | November 11, 2023 |
GOR Mahia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Pyramids FC | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Pyramids FC | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Nairobi United | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Mara Sugar | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Murang'a SEAL | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Police | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Murang'a SEAL Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 26 | Home | Mara Sugar | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Bidco United | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Home | GOR Mahia | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Homeboyz | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Police | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Kariobangi Sharks | 1 - 0 | Loss |
FKF Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Murang'a SEAL | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | GOR Mahia | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.GOR Mahia to win
This prediction indicates that GOR Mahia has a 67.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.03 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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