GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United Saturday 30th May 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

GOR Mahia Nairobi United

GOR Mahia D W D W W D

Nairobi United D D L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nairobi United	GOR Mahia	1 - 1	December 21, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Away	Mara Sugar	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Murang'a SEAL	1 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Police	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Homeboyz	0 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	AFC Leopards	0 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Bandari	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Police	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Posta Rangers FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Kariobangi Sharks	2 - 0	Loss
May 6, 26	Home	Tusker	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Mathare United	1 - 2	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Murang'a SEAL	2 - 4	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	GOR Mahia	33	20	9	4	50	21	+29	69
5	Nairobi United	33	13	11	9	43	34	+9	50

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that GOR Mahia has a 54.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.41 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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