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Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Gorleston Bury Town
Gorleston W L L W D D
Bury Town W D W D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Bury Town Gorleston 3 - 0 September 17, 2011

Gorleston Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Leighton Town 1 - 4 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Leiston 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 13, 25 Away Waltham Abbey 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 30, 25 Away March Town United 1 - 3 Win
Aug 19, 25 Away Walsham Le Willows 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 16, 25 Home Walsham Le Willows 2 - 2 Draw

Bury Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away London Lions 2 - 4 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home AFC Sudbury 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Away Mildenhall Town 1 - 4 Win
Sep 17, 25 Away Woodford Town 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 13, 25 Home Woodford Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 30, 25 Away Brightlingsea Regent 2 - 3 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.73% likelihood that both Gorleston and Bury Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Gorleston to win
This prediction indicates that Gorleston has a 44.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.58 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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