Grêmio Catanduvense vs Matonense Sunday 14th June 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Grêmio Catanduvense Matonense

Grêmio Catanduvense L L L L L L

Matonense D W L W W W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Matonense	Grêmio Catanduvense	3 - 1	May 9, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Mogi Mirim	0 - 6	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Sao Carlos	8 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Santacruzense	1 - 5	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Independente SP	0 - 4	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Matonense	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Mogi Mirim	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Sao Carlos	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Santacruzense	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Independente SP	0 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Mogi Mirim	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Grêmio Catanduvense	3 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Sao Carlos	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Matonense	8	5	1	2	13	9	+4	16
24	Grêmio Catanduvense	8	0	0	8	4	36	-32	0

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Matonense has a 85.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 7.38 %

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