EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Grimsby
Notts County
Grimsby
W
L
W
W
D
W
Notts County
D
D
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | Grimsby | 0 - 1 | February 28, 2026 |
| Grimsby | Notts County | 0 - 2 | December 13, 2025 |
| Grimsby | Notts County | 0 - 2 | March 11, 2025 |
| Notts County | Grimsby | 4 - 1 | August 22, 2024 |
| Grimsby | Notts County | 5 - 5 | January 13, 2024 |
| Notts County | Grimsby | 3 - 2 | August 12, 2023 |
Grimsby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Exeter City | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Blackpool | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Grimsby Borough | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Wigan | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Boston United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Lincoln | 5 - 1 | Win |
Notts County Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Leicester | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Burnley | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Walsall | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Randers FC | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Viborg | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Grimsby to win
This prediction indicates that Grimsby has a 47.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.44 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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