Grobiņa vs Ogre United Monday 27th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Grobiņa Ogre United

Grobiņa W L D L W L

Ogre United W L W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ogre United	Grobiņa	1 - 1	May 25, 2026
Ogre United	Grobiņa	1 - 1	April 13, 2026

Grobiņa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 1	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 25, 26	Home	Auda	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	1 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	1 - 3	Loss

Ogre United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Away	Super Nova	1 - 2	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 2	Win
Jun 22, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	6 - 0	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	0 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Riga	1 - 4	Loss

Virsliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Grobiņa	22	4	8	10	15	33	-18	20
10	Ogre United	21	2	4	15	19	54	-35	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.35% likelihood that both Grobiņa and Ogre United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Grobiņa to win

This prediction indicates that Grobiņa has a 49.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.59 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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