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Liga Pro Serie B

Aug. 1, 2026 3 weeks, 6 days ago
2 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

Gualaceo SC Ind. Juniors
Gualaceo SC D L D W W L
Ind. Juniors W W D L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Independiente Juniors are favored by quality and recent form, but the prediction gives them only a modest 38% chance to win away—reflecting that recent head-to-head meetings have been fairly even and both teams have similar rest going into the match. The low-scoring lean (under 2.5 goals at 67% combined probability) suggests a competitive fixture unlikely to be a blowout, which aligns with the relatively close historical record between these sides despite Juniors' overall superiority.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ind. Juniors Gualaceo SC 1 - 1 May 7, 2026
Ind. Juniors Gualaceo SC 2 - 1 October 16, 2025
Gualaceo SC Ind. Juniors 1 - 0 September 16, 2025
Gualaceo SC Ind. Juniors 0 - 1 July 24, 2025
Ind. Juniors Gualaceo SC 1 - 1 May 13, 2025
Gualaceo SC Ind. Juniors 2 - 1 October 16, 2024

Gualaceo SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 24, 26 Away El Nacional 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home 22 de Julio 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away 9 de Octubre 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 1, 26 Away Cuniburo 1 - 2 Win
Jun 10, 26 Home Cumbayá 1 - 0 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away LDU Portoviejo 1 - 0 Loss

Ind. Juniors Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 23, 26 Home Cuniburo 2 - 0 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away LDU Portoviejo 0 - 1 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Atletico FC 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 3, 26 Away Vargas Torres 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 10, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 4 - 0 Win
Jun 5, 26 Away San Antonio 0 - 0 Draw

Liga Pro Serie B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Ind. Juniors 18 8 7 3 20 11 +9 31
6 Gualaceo SC 18 6 7 5 13 11 +2 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.26% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ind. Juniors to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ind. Juniors has a 38.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.74 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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