Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United Saturday 30th May 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Guangxi Hengchen Dongguan United

Guangxi Hengchen D W D W W L

Dongguan United D L D D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Nantong Zhiyun	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Hubei Chufeng Heli	0 - 4	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Hebei Kungfu	0 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Nanjing City	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Suzhou Dongwu	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Langfang Glory City	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Suzhou Dongwu	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Dalian Huayi	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Shenzhen Juniors	0 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Changchun Yatai	1 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Guangxi Hengchen	9	4	2	3	10	7	+3	14
13	Dongguan United	9	2	3	4	11	13	-2	9

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Guangxi Hengchen has a 52.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.23 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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