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League One

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
3 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

Guangxi Hengchen Dongguan United
Guangxi Hengchen D W D W W L
Dongguan United D L D D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Guangxi Hengchen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Nantong Zhiyun 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Hubei Chufeng Heli 0 - 4 Win
May 10, 26 Away Yanbian Longding 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Away Hebei Kungfu 0 - 3 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Nanjing City 1 - 0 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Suzhou Dongwu 1 - 0 Loss

Dongguan United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1 - 1 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Langfang Glory City 1 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Suzhou Dongwu 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Away Dalian Huayi 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Away Shenzhen Juniors 0 - 3 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home Changchun Yatai 1 - 3 Loss

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Guangxi Hengchen 9 4 2 3 10 7 +3 14
13 Dongguan United 9 2 3 4 11 13 -2 9

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Guangxi Hengchen to win
This prediction indicates that Guangxi Hengchen has a 52.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.23 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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