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Serie D logo

Serie D

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Guaporé Luverdense
Guaporé W L D W W D
Luverdense D W W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Guaporé Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home Monte Roraima 2 - 0 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Monte Roraima 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Independência 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Araguaína 3 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away Humaitá 0 - 4 Win
May 17, 26 Away Porto Velho 0 - 0 Draw

Luverdense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home Ceilândia 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away Ceilândia 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Inhumas 4 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Brasiliense 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Aparecidense 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Primavera MG 1 - 0 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Guaporé 11 6 4 1 21 12 +9 22
30 Luverdense 11 5 3 3 13 11 +2 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Guaporé to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Guaporé has a 44.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.31 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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