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Serie C logo

Serie C

July 5, 2026 5 days, 2 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Guarani Campinas Floresta
Guarani Campinas D L W W W L
Floresta W L L W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Floresta Guarani Campinas 0 - 0 May 17, 2025

Guarani Campinas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Away Figueirense 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 22, 26 Away Confiança 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home Caxias 2 - 1 Win
May 31, 26 Home Amazonas 5 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Barra 0 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Ituano 1 - 3 Loss

Floresta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Barra 2 - 1 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Brusque 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Figueirense 1 - 2 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Confiança 1 - 0 Win
May 25, 26 Away Paysandu 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Amazonas 3 - 2 Win

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Guarani Campinas 11 6 3 2 22 10 +12 21
8 Floresta 12 5 3 4 15 14 +1 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Guarani Campinas to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Guarani Campinas has a 39.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 38.33 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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