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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 7, 2026 3 weeks, 1 day ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Guarany de Bagé Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé L L L W L L
Cianorte L D W L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cianorte Guarany de Bagé 3 - 1 April 5, 2026

Guarany de Bagé Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Joinville 2 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Cascavel 0 - 4 Loss
May 16, 26 Away São Luiz 2 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Santa Catarina 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Santa Catarina 3 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home São Luiz 0 - 1 Loss

Cianorte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Santa Catarina 1 - 3 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Joinville 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Cascavel 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Home São Luiz 0 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Away São Luiz 0 - 1 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Cascavel 0 - 1 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
42 Cianorte 9 4 1 4 8 8 0 13
91 Guarany de Bagé 9 1 1 7 2 17 -15 4

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 63.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Cianorte to win
This prediction indicates that Cianorte has a 50.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.38 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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