Guastatoya vs Aurora Monday 05th October 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Liga Nacional

Oct. 5, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Guastatoya Aurora

Guastatoya W W D W L L

Aurora W L L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aurora	Guastatoya	0 - 1	July 25, 2026
Aurora	Guastatoya	0 - 1	March 19, 2026
Guastatoya	Aurora	2 - 2	January 28, 2026
Guastatoya	Aurora	3 - 2	September 28, 2025
Aurora	Guastatoya	1 - 0	July 20, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Comunicaciones	1 - 2	Win
Sep 13, 26	Home	Xelajú	2 - 1	Win
Sep 10, 26	Away	Suchitepéquez	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Cobán Imperial	0 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Marquense	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Mixco	4 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Marquense	1 - 0	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Mixco	3 - 2	Loss
Sep 10, 26	Home	Municipal	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Antigua GFC	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Malacateco	1 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	Suchitepéquez	3 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Guastatoya	10	6	1	3	15	11	+4	19
8	Aurora	10	4	0	6	14	16	-2	12

This prediction indicates that Guastatoya has a 54.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.05 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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