Guatemala vs El Salvador Tuesday 29th September 2026 05:00 AM football predictions.

CONCACAF Nations League

Sept. 29, 2026 5 days, 16 hours from now VS

Guatemala El Salvador

Guatemala L W L L L D

El Salvador D L W D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
El Salvador	Guatemala	1 - 1	June 1, 2025
Guatemala	El Salvador	0 - 1	July 28, 2024
Guatemala	El Salvador	2 - 0	September 8, 2023
El Salvador	Guatemala	0 - 4	April 24, 2022
El Salvador	Guatemala	0 - 2	September 25, 2021
El Salvador	Guatemala	2 - 0	July 12, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Ecuador	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	Czech Republic	3 - 1	Win
Mar 27, 26	Away	Algeria	7 - 0	Loss
Jan 18, 26	Away	Canada	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 2, 25	Away	USA	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 29, 25	Away	Canada	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Club Tijuana	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	Los Angeles FC	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Los Angeles Galaxy	0 - 3	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Qatar	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 4, 26	Away	South Korea	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 25, 25	Away	Canada	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	El Salvador	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Guatemala	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Guatemala has a 43.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.08 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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