Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad Sunday 16th August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Guayaquil City FC Libertad

Guayaquil City FC D D W D W L

Libertad W W W L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Libertad	Guayaquil City FC	0 - 1	April 21, 2026
Libertad	Guayaquil City FC	1 - 0	October 10, 2023
Guayaquil City FC	Libertad	1 - 1	May 6, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Home	Universidad Catolica	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Away	Leones del Norte	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Home	Manta FC	1 - 0	Win
Jul 16, 26	Away	Barcelona SC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Delfin SC	2 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Aucas	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Orense SC	3 - 0	Win
Jul 27, 26	Away	Mushuc Runa SC	0 - 2	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Delfin SC	1 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 26	Away	Barcelona SC	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Home	Tecnico Universitario	1 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Guayaquil City FC	22	7	7	8	19	23	-4	28
11	Libertad	22	7	6	9	21	26	-5	27

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.9% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Guayaquil City FC has a 42.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.90 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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