Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica Sunday 26th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Guayaquil City FC Universidad Catolica

Guayaquil City FC L L D L L L

Universidad Catolica L L L W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Universidad Catolica	Guayaquil City FC	4 - 1	April 4, 2026
Guayaquil City FC	Universidad Catolica	0 - 0	August 11, 2023
Universidad Catolica	Guayaquil City FC	3 - 0	March 5, 2023
Guayaquil City FC	Universidad Catolica	2 - 0	July 17, 2022
Universidad Catolica	Guayaquil City FC	1 - 1	February 26, 2022
Universidad Catolica	Guayaquil City FC	1 - 1	August 21, 2021

Guayaquil City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Away	Aucas	1 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Independiente del Valle	2 - 4	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Mushuc Runa SC	2 - 2	Draw
May 19, 26	Home	Orense SC	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	1 - 0	Loss

Universidad Catolica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Leones del Norte	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Home	Mushuc Runa SC	2 - 3	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Emelec	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Orense SC	1 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Delfin SC	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Aucas	2 - 1	Loss

Liga Pro Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Universidad Catolica	18	7	5	6	28	18	+10	26
13	Guayaquil City FC	17	5	4	8	14	20	-6	19

Predictions

Universidad Catolica to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Universidad Catolica has a 39.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.58 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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