Serie C - Girone B
Match Analysis
Gubbio
Perugia
Gubbio
D
W
W
L
L
W
Perugia
L
L
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | Gubbio | 0 - 1 | January 18, 2026 |
| Gubbio | Perugia | 1 - 1 | September 6, 2025 |
| Gubbio | Perugia | 1 - 0 | January 20, 2025 |
| Perugia | Gubbio | 1 - 1 | September 15, 2024 |
| Gubbio | Perugia | 0 - 1 | March 17, 2024 |
| Perugia | Gubbio | 1 - 0 | November 12, 2023 |
Gubbio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Pescara | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Latina | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Città di Campobasso | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Reggiana | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Sporting Trestina | 2 - 0 | Win |
Perugia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Home | Spezia | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Ravenna | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Pineto | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Vis Pesaro | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Ostia Mare | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Forli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie C - Girone B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Perugia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Gubbio to win
This prediction indicates that Gubbio has a 45.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.45 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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