Serie C - Girone B
Match Analysis
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Livorno
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
W
L
W
L
L
L
Livorno
W
D
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Livorno | 0 - 2 | January 17, 2026 |
| Livorno | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 0 - 1 | September 7, 2025 |
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Pianese | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Atalanta II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Gubbio | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Athletic Carpi | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Ascoli | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Juventus U23 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Livorno Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Atalanta II | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Pineto | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Torres | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Empoli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Cittadella Vis Modena | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie C - Girone B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Livorno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Guidonia Montecelio 1937 has a 39.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.57 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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