Primeira Liga
Match Analysis
Guimaraes
Arouca
Guimaraes
W
W
W
W
L
L
Arouca
D
D
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | Guimaraes | 3 - 2 | February 7, 2026 |
| Guimaraes | Arouca | 1 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| Guimaraes | Arouca | 2 - 2 | January 18, 2025 |
| Arouca | Guimaraes | 0 - 1 | August 12, 2024 |
| Arouca | Guimaraes | 1 - 3 | May 18, 2024 |
| Guimaraes | Arouca | 2 - 1 | January 15, 2024 |
Guimaraes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Academica | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Penafiel | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Felgueiras 1932 | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Nacional | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 11, 26 | Home | Casa Pia | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Arouca Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Famalicao | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Feirense | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Rio Ave | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Tondela | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Away | GIL Vicente | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Santa Clara | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Primeira Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Arouca | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Guimaraes | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.1% likelihood that both Guimaraes and Arouca will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Guimaraes to win
This prediction indicates that Guimaraes has a 52.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.17 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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