Primeira Liga
Match Analysis
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Guimaraes
L
W
L
L
W
D
Moreirense
L
W
L
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | Moreirense | 1 - 0 | January 30, 2026 |
| Moreirense | Guimaraes | 2 - 0 | August 23, 2025 |
| Moreirense | Guimaraes | 2 - 2 | March 30, 2025 |
| Guimaraes | Moreirense | 1 - 0 | November 3, 2024 |
| Guimaraes | Moreirense | 1 - 0 | March 30, 2024 |
| Moreirense | Guimaraes | 1 - 0 | November 5, 2023 |
Guimaraes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | SC Braga | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Nacional | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Sporting CP | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Arouca | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Chaves | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Moreirense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | FC Porto | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Casa Pia | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Arouca | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | SC Braga | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Amarante | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Felgueiras 1932 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Primeira Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Guimaraes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Guimaraes to win
This prediction indicates that Guimaraes has a 53.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.04 %Most Likely Scorelines
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