Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Match Analysis
Guinea-Bissau
Nigeria
Guinea-Bissau
D
L
L
L
W
D
Nigeria
L
D
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau | Nigeria | 0 - 1 | January 22, 2024 |
| Guinea-Bissau | Nigeria | 0 - 1 | March 27, 2023 |
| Nigeria | Guinea-Bissau | 0 - 1 | March 24, 2023 |
| Guinea-Bissau | Nigeria | 0 - 2 | January 19, 2022 |
Guinea-Bissau Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 26 | Away | Burkina Faso | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Mar 28, 26 | Away | Burkina Faso | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 12, 25 | Away | Egypt | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 8, 25 | Away | Ethiopia | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 25 | Home | Djibouti | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 4, 25 | Home | Sierra Leone | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Nigeria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 26 | Away | Portugal | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Poland | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Jamaica | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 26, 26 | Home | Zimbabwe | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 31, 26 | Away | Jordan | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Mar 27, 26 | Away | Iran | 1 - 2 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Nigeria to win
This prediction indicates that Nigeria has a 55.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.48 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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