Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Wednesday 22nd July 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Gwangju FC Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Gwangju FC D L L D L L

Gimcheon Sangmu FC D L D L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Gwangju FC	1 - 1	March 17, 2026
Gwangju FC	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1 - 1	July 22, 2025
Gwangju FC	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1 - 0	May 5, 2025
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Gwangju FC	0 - 0	March 16, 2025
Gimcheon Sangmu FC	Gwangju FC	2 - 0	September 28, 2024
Gwangju FC	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2 - 0	June 15, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Ulsan Hyundai FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Incheon United	4 - 0	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	FC Seoul	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Gangwon FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Jeonbuk Motors	4 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Daejeon Citizen	0 - 5	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Jeju United FC	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Jeonbuk Motors	1 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	FC Anyang	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Incheon United	0 - 3	Loss
May 5, 26	Home	Ulsan Hyundai FC	1 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	FC Seoul	2 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	15	2	8	5	15	21	-6	14
12	Gwangju FC	15	1	4	10	7	37	-30	7

This prediction indicates that Gimcheon Sangmu FC has a 44.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.92 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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