III Liga - Group 3
Match Analysis
Górnik Polkowice
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Górnik Polkowice
D
D
L
W
L
W
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
W
D
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Górnik Polkowice have poor recent form, while Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are coming in with moderate form. Despite this, Górnik Polkowice carry a modest quality edge and have a home advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 53% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market odds for these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Polkowice | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| Górnik Polkowice | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1 - 1 | March 17, 2026 |
| Górnik Polkowice | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1 - 4 | January 17, 2026 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Górnik Polkowice | 1 - 2 | August 2, 2025 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Górnik Polkowice | 1 - 3 | June 7, 2025 |
| Górnik Polkowice | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 0 - 2 | November 16, 2024 |
Górnik Polkowice Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Warta Gorzów | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Miedź Legnica II | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Kluczbork | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Rakow II | 5 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Barycz Sułów | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Warta Poznań | 3 - 4 | Win |
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Barycz Sułów | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Carina Gubin | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | ROW Rybnik | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Miedź Legnica II | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Zagłębie Lubin II | 0 - 4 | Win |
III Liga - Group 3 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 12 | Górnik Polkowice | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.85% likelihood that both Górnik Polkowice and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Górnik Polkowice to win
This prediction indicates that Górnik Polkowice has a 53.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.24 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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